Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mauritius vs Sri Lanka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Cote d'Or National Sports Complex, St Pierre
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
De Robillard S.
20' Event
Suresh R.
40' Event
Senthurvasan N.

AI Match Summary

Sri Lanka in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sri Lanka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mauritius
20%
Draws
56%
Sri Lanka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Sri Lanka have won more games recently than Mauritius.
  • Win probability leans Sri Lanka's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Mauritius Clean Sheet 18%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauritius Sri Lanka
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.68 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Friendly International
Mauritius vs Sri Lanka
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mauritius Compare

Top Goalscorer De Robillard S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aurelien F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Sri Lanka Compare

Top Goalscorer Suresh R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Senthurvasan N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritius 28 / 100
Sri Lanka 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauritius Sri Lanka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Lanka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sri Lanka conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Mauritius stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mauritius's goal record stands at 39% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mauritius VS Sri Lanka
0.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritius

(Home)
05 Oct
Mauritius
2 : 3
Sri Lanka
02 Oct
Mauritius
3 : 0
Sri Lanka
31 Mar
Mauritius
0 : 1
Somalia
27 Mar
Somalia
0 : 0
Mauritius
13 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 0
Libya
Page 1 of 6

Sri Lanka

(Away)
05 Oct
Mauritius
2 : 3
Sri Lanka
02 Oct
Mauritius
3 : 0
Sri Lanka
30 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 2
Sri Lanka
27 Sept
Seychelles
0 : 3
Sri Lanka
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
Page 1 of 6