Sport Picks

Cuba

Liga Nacional

Mayabeque Guines

2 - 0

FC Cienfuegos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mayabeque Guines in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mayabeque Guines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Mayabeque Guines

Draws

90%

FC Cienfuegos

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Cienfuegos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to FC Cienfuegos lately — more wins on the board than Mayabeque Guines.
FC Cienfuegos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Mayabeque Guines Clean Sheet 10%

FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mayabeque Guines	FC Cienfuegos
Matches Played	28	33
Wins	3	19
Draws	4	7
Losses	21	7
Goals Scored	0.75	1.63
Goals Conceded	2.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional

Mayabeque Guines vs FC Cienfuegos

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

May 17, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Cienfuegos vs Mayabeque Guines

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional

Mayabeque Guines vs FC Cienfuegos

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Mar 22, 2025 Liga Nacional

FC Cienfuegos vs Mayabeque Guines

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

5:0

Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional

FC Cienfuegos vs Mayabeque Guines

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mayabeque Guines 10 / 100

FC Cienfuegos 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mayabeque Guines FC Cienfuegos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Mayabeque Guines found the back of the net in 36% of recent matches (28 games).

FC Cienfuegos let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Mayabeque Guines went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mayabeque Guines VS FC Cienfuegos

0.75 Goals Scored 1.63

2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC La Habana	11	7	3	1	21:12	24
2	Artemisa	12	4	4	4	18:19	16
3	Isla de La Juventud	11	3	2	6	10:16	11
4	Pinar del Rio	10	2	3	5	11:13	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Cienfuegos	12	6	4	2	20:11	22
2	FC Villa Clara	12	6	4	2	16:7	22
3	Matanzas	12	3	3	6	10:13	12
4	Mayabeque Guines	12	2	3	7	11:26	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Las Tunas	12	7	1	4	20:13	22
2	FC Ciego de Avila	12	6	2	4	16:9	20
3	FC Camaguey	11	5	2	4	17:14	17
4	FC Sancti Spiritus	11	1	3	7	3:20	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Guantanamo	12	8	3	1	25:6	27
2	FC Santiago de Cuba	11	4	3	4	12:11	15
3	FC Holguin	12	3	4	5	12:19	13
4	CF Granma	11	2	2	7	9:22	8