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Mayabeque Guines vs FC Cienfuegos

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Mayabeque Guines and FC Cienfuegos finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cienfuegos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mayabeque Guines
20%
Draws
57%
FC Cienfuegos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Cienfuegos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mayabeque Guines haven't matched FC Cienfuegos's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Cienfuegos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Mayabeque Guines Clean Sheet 10%
FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mayabeque Guines FC Cienfuegos
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 3 19
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.61 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.18 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs FC Cienfuegos
0:3
May 17, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs Mayabeque Guines
2:2
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs FC Cienfuegos
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs Mayabeque Guines
5:0
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs Mayabeque Guines
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mayabeque Guines 10 / 100
FC Cienfuegos 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mayabeque Guines FC Cienfuegos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Cienfuegos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Mayabeque Guines scored in 36% of their last 28 outings.

FC Cienfuegos has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Mayabeque Guines has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mayabeque Guines VS FC Cienfuegos
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mayabeque Guines

(Home)
14 Jun
Mayabeque Guines
3 : 0
Matanzas
07 Jun
FC Villa Clara
3 : 0
Mayabeque Guines
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3
FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2
Mayabeque Guines
10 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 2
FC Villa Clara
Page 1 of 6

FC Cienfuegos

(Away)
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1
FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2
FC Cienfuegos
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3
FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2
Mayabeque Guines
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0
Matanzas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC La Habana 11 7 3 1 21:12 24
2 Artemisa 12 4 4 4 18:19 16
3 Isla de La Juventud 11 3 2 6 10:16 11
4 Pinar del Rio 10 2 3 5 11:13 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 12 6 4 2 20:11 22
2 FC Villa Clara 12 6 4 2 16:7 22
3 Matanzas 12 3 3 6 10:13 12
4 Mayabeque Guines 12 2 3 7 11:26 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Tunas 12 7 1 4 20:13 22
2 FC Ciego de Avila 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
3 FC Camaguey 11 5 2 4 17:14 17
4 FC Sancti Spiritus 11 1 3 7 3:20 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 12 8 3 1 25:6 27
2 FC Santiago de Cuba 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
3 FC Holguin 12 3 4 5 12:19 13
4 CF Granma 11 2 2 7 9:22 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)