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Mayabeque Guines vs Matanzas

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Sat, Jun 14, 2025
3 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mayabeque Guines host Matanzas in the Liga Nacional. Matanzas are expected to control this from the start. Mayabeque Guines have averaged 0.61 scored and 2.18 conceded recently, against Matanzas's 0.94 scored and 1.45 conceded. Head-to-head, Mayabeque Guines have won 1 to Matanzas's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2025, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.81 - 1.63) back Matanzas to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Mayabeque Guines
15%
Draws
36%
Matanzas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mayabeque Guines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Matanzas come out ahead of Mayabeque Guines on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Mayabeque Guines Clean Sheet 14%
Matanzas Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mayabeque Guines Matanzas
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 3 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.61 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs Matanzas
3:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs Mayabeque Guines
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs Matanzas
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs Mayabeque Guines
4:1
Mar 1, 2023 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs Mayabeque Guines
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mayabeque Guines 31 / 100
Matanzas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mayabeque Guines Matanzas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matanzas has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Matanzas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Mayabeque Guines's goal record stands at 36% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mayabeque Guines VS Matanzas
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mayabeque Guines

(Home)
14 Jun
Mayabeque Guines
3 : 0
Matanzas
07 Jun
FC Villa Clara
3 : 0
Mayabeque Guines
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3
FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2
Mayabeque Guines
10 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 2
FC Villa Clara
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Matanzas

(Away)
14 Jun
Mayabeque Guines
3 : 0
Matanzas
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2
FC Cienfuegos
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0
Matanzas
17 May
Matanzas
1 : 0
FC Villa Clara
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0
Matanzas
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC La Habana 11 7 3 1 21:12 24
2 Artemisa 12 4 4 4 18:19 16
3 Isla de La Juventud 11 3 2 6 10:16 11
4 Pinar del Rio 10 2 3 5 11:13 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 12 6 4 2 20:11 22
2 FC Villa Clara 12 6 4 2 16:7 22
3 Matanzas 12 3 3 6 10:13 12
4 Mayabeque Guines 12 2 3 7 11:26 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Tunas 12 7 1 4 20:13 22
2 FC Ciego de Avila 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
3 FC Camaguey 11 5 2 4 17:14 17
4 FC Sancti Spiritus 11 1 3 7 3:20 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 12 8 3 1 25:6 27
2 FC Santiago de Cuba 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
3 FC Holguin 12 3 4 5 12:19 13
4 CF Granma 11 2 2 7 9:22 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)