Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mayabeque Guines vs Pinar del Rio

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mayabeque Guines in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mayabeque Guines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mayabeque Guines
30%
Draws
23%
Pinar del Rio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mayabeque Guines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Pinar del Rio have won more games recently than Mayabeque Guines.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Pinar del Rio have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mayabeque Guines Clean Sheet 16%
Pinar del Rio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mayabeque Guines Pinar del Rio
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 3 6
Draws 4 9
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.61 1
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2023 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs Pinar del Rio
4:1
May 7, 2022 Liga Nacional
Pinar del Rio vs Mayabeque Guines
3:0
Mar 19, 2022 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs Pinar del Rio
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mayabeque Guines 36 / 100
Pinar del Rio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mayabeque Guines Pinar del Rio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinar del Rio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pinar del Rio conceded in 69% of 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Pinar del Rio has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mayabeque Guines's goal record stands at 36% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mayabeque Guines VS Pinar del Rio
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mayabeque Guines

(Home)
14 Jun
Mayabeque Guines
3 : 0
Matanzas
07 Jun
FC Villa Clara
3 : 0
Mayabeque Guines
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3
FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2
Mayabeque Guines
10 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 2
FC Villa Clara
Page 1 of 6

Pinar del Rio

(Away)
14 Jun
Pinar del Rio
2 : 2
FC La Habana
07 Jun
Artemisa
2 : 1
Pinar del Rio
17 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 0
Artemisa
10 May
FC La Habana
1 : 0
Pinar del Rio
03 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 7 6 1 0 14:2 19
2 FC La Habana 7 5 2 0 11:2 17
3 Matanzas 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Artemisa 7 3 1 3 15:8 10
5 FC Villa Clara 7 2 1 4 6:11 7
6 Isla de La Juventud 7 2 1 4 5:10 7
7 Pinar del Rio 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
8 Mayabeque Guines 7 1 0 6 4:16 3
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santiago de Cuba 7 4 2 1 14:5 14
2 FC Guantanamo 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
3 FC Holguin 7 4 1 2 9:7 13
4 FC Camaguey 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 CF Granma 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 FC Sancti Spiritus 7 2 1 4 2:6 7
7 FC Ciego de Avila 7 2 1 4 5:10 7
8 Las Tunas 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)