Sport Picks
Mayak Sarny vs SC Poltava
Ukraine
Ukrainian Cup 
Match Events
1'
1'
(Penalty)
1'
1'
(Penalty)
2'
2'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
25%
25%
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Mayak Sarny
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and SC Poltava come out ahead of Mayak Sarny on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Mayak Sarny taking it.
- SC Poltava arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mayak Sarny, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Mayak Sarny Clean Sheet 20%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mayak Sarny | SC Poltava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 3 | 27 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 7 |
| Losses | 1 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Mayak Sarny vs SC Poltava
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mayak Sarny 49 / 100
SC Poltava 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mayak Sarny SC Poltava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mayak Sarny Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mayak Sarny's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 3 recent games.
Defensive concern: SC Poltava conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Solid form: Mayak Sarny remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mayak Sarny VS SC Poltava
2.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mayak Sarny
(Home) 08 Sept
Bazys Kochubiyivka
1 : 4 Mayak Sarny
22 Aug
Mayak Sarny
1 : 0 SC Poltava
22 Aug
Mayak Sarny
0 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
22 Aug
Mayak Sarny
1 : 0 SC Poltava
22 Aug
Mayak Sarny
0 : 2 Metalist Kharkiv
SC Poltava
(Away) 12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1 SC Poltava
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0 Inhulets
28 Aug
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 1 SC Poltava
22 Aug
Mayak Sarny
1 : 0 SC Poltava
15 Aug
SC Poltava
0 : 0 UCSA
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1 SC Poltava
28 Aug
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 1 SC Poltava
22 Aug
Mayak Sarny
1 : 0 SC Poltava
09 Aug
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 3 SC Poltava
25 Jul
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0 : 3 SC Poltava
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
1/16-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Trostyanets -
FC Chernihiv -
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
FC Vilkhivtsi -
Shakhtar -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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