Sport Picks
Mayfield Utd vs Castlebar Celtic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ireland
FAI Cup 2009 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Mayfield Utd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castlebar Celtic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Castlebar Celtic come out ahead of Mayfield Utd on wins alone.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Castlebar Celtic taking it.
- Castlebar Celtic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mayfield Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Mayfield Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Castlebar Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mayfield Utd | Castlebar Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.67 | 2.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 2.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2009 FAI Cup
Mayfield Utd vs Castlebar Celtic
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mayfield Utd 10 / 100
Castlebar Celtic 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mayfield Utd Castlebar Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castlebar Celtic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mayfield Utd's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 6 recent games.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Castlebar Celtic has conceded goals in 75% of their last 12 outings.
Recent resilience: Mayfield Utd stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mayfield Utd VS Castlebar Celtic
1.33 Goals Scored 1.38
3.67 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Mayfield Utd
(Home) 14 May
Midleton
2 : 0 Mayfield Utd
01 Jun
Mayfield Utd
1 : 3 Malahide United
25 May
Drogheda
6 : 1 Mayfield Utd
01 Apr
Ballymun Utd
1 : 2 Mayfield Utd
12 Jun
Bohemians
8 : 1 Mayfield Utd
Page 1 of 2
01 Jun
Mayfield Utd
1 : 3 Malahide United
24 May
Mayfield Utd
3 : 2 Castlebar Celtic
Castlebar Celtic
(Away) 15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
18 Jul
Douglas Hall
0 : 1 Castlebar Celtic
16 May
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 0 North End United
20 Jul
Castlebar Celtic
3 : 6 Longford
11 May
North End United
1 : 4 Castlebar Celtic
Page 1 of 3
15 Aug
Dundalk
8 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
18 Jul
Douglas Hall
0 : 1 Castlebar Celtic
11 May
North End United
1 : 4 Castlebar Celtic
16 May
Carlow
1 : 0 Castlebar Celtic
24 May
Mayfield Utd
3 : 2 Castlebar Celtic
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 4
Cork City 3
Ballymun Utd 0
Derry City 6
Dundalk 3
Mervue United 1
Mayfield Utd 1
Bohemians 8
St. Patricks 1
Limerick 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Monaghan United 6
Crumlin Utd 2
Shelbourne 1
Carrigaline Utd 0
Waterford 6
Bray 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Salthill 1
Tralee 2
Galway United 3
Finn Harps 0
Wexford 4
Longford 5
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 1
Arklow 1
UC Dublin 3
Athlone 2
Kildare County 1
Blarney Utd 0
Sporting Fingal 2
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
Dundalk 0
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Monaghan United 0
Crumlin Utd 0
Waterford 2
Bray 2
Tralee 0
Galway United 0
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 1
Sporting Fingal 4
Quarter-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Waterford 3
Bray 2
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Sporting Fingal 4
Semi-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Waterford 0
Bray 2
Sporting Fingal 4
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Sporting Fingal 2
