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Mayo FC vs St Francis

Ireland Ireland

National League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mayo FC in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mayo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mayo FC
22%
Draws
45%
St Francis
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: St Francis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St Francis lately — more wins on the board than Mayo FC.
  • Model gives Mayo FC a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mayo FC Clean Sheet 20%
St Francis Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mayo FC St Francis
Matches Played 4 30
Wins 1 3
Draws 0 11
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0.83
Goals Conceded 2 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National League
Mayo FC vs St Francis
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mayo FC 85 / 100
St Francis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mayo FC St Francis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mayo FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Francis let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Mayo FC found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (4 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Mayo FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mayo FC VS St Francis
0.6 Goals Scored 0.38
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.13
60% Over 1.5 50%
40% Over 2.5 0%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mayo FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Salthill
2 : 0
Mayo FC
12 Sept
Mayo FC
2 : 3
TU Dublin
05 Sept
Letterkenny Rovers
3 : 0
Mayo FC
29 Aug
Mayo FC
1 : 0
St Francis

St Francis

(Away)
26 Sept
St Francis
4 : 1
Salthill
19 Sept
TU Dublin
1 : 1
St Francis
12 Sept
St Francis
1 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
29 Aug
Mayo FC
1 : 0
St Francis
18 May
Midleton
3 : 0
St Francis
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 4 3 1 0 14:3 10
2 Mervue United 5 2 2 1 6:9 8
3 Lucan Utd 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Bonagee 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Letterkenny Rovers 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
2 Salthill 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
3 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 TU Dublin 4 1 2 1 9:11 5
5 Mayo FC 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 4 3 1 0 16:6 10
2 CK United FC 4 2 2 0 9:7 8
3 University College Cork 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Killarney Celtic 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
5 Newbridge Town 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams