Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2009

Independente AP

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mazagao play Independente AP in the Campeonato Amapaense 2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mazagao averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded. Independente AP averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Mazagao won 2, Independente AP won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 23, 2011 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Mazagao and 1.69 for Independente AP. This points to a Mazagao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Mazagao

39%

Draws

30%

Independente AP

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Independente AP has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mazagao.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato Amapaense 2009 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%

Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Mazagao Clean Sheet 13%

Independente AP Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mazagao	Independente AP
Matches Played	31	43
Wins	15	18
Draws	6	13
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.5	1.38
Goals Conceded	2	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2011 Amapaense

Mazagao vs Independente AP

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Oct 17, 2009 Amapaense

Mazagao vs Independente AP

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Apr 5, 2008 Amapaense

Mazagao vs Independente AP

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazagao 31 / 100

Independente AP 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mazagao Independente AP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazagao scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Independente AP let in goals in 67% of their last 43 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mazagao went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Independente AP lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazagao VS Independente AP

1.5 Goals Scored 1.38

2 Goals Conceded 0.75

83% Over 1.5 88%

67% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Santana EC	5	3	2	0	10:6	11
2	Mazagao	5	3	2	0	7:4	11
3	Macapa	5	2	2	1	13:10	8
4	Ypiranga AP	5	2	2	1	7:5	8
5	Cristal AP	5	1	1	3	8:8	4
6	Santos AP	5	0	1	4	3:14	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo AP	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
2	SAO Jose	6	3	0	3	9:10	9
3	Oratorio	6	1	4	1	11:11	7
4	Trem	6	1	3	2	6:4	6
5	Independente AP	6	1	2	3	14:17	5