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Mazagao vs Independente AP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2009
Mazagao Logo

Mazagao

2 - 1
FT
Independente AP Logo

Independente AP

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mazagao in this Campeonato Amapaense 2009 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazagao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Mazagao
35%
Draws
39%
Independente AP
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Independente AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Independente AP have won more games recently than Mazagao.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Mazagao have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mazagao Clean Sheet 13%
Independente AP Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazagao Independente AP
Matches Played 31 43
Wins 15 18
Draws 6 13
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2011 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Independente AP
1:0
Oct 17, 2009 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Independente AP
2:1
Apr 5, 2008 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Independente AP
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazagao 31 / 100
Independente AP 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazagao Independente AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente AP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazagao's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Independente AP let in goals in 67% of their last 43 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mazagao stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazagao VS Independente AP
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazagao

(Home)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
04 Jun
Renovacao
1 : 4
Mazagao
31 May
Mazagao
1 : 5
Portuguesa AP
23 May
Latitude Zero
2 : 1
Mazagao
14 May
Mazagao
1 : 1
Cruzeiro AP
Page 1 of 7

Independente AP

(Away)
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
13 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 1
Ypiranga AP
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santana EC 5 3 2 0 10:6 11
2 Mazagao 5 3 2 0 7:4 11
3 Macapa 5 2 2 1 13:10 8
4 Ypiranga AP 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
5 Cristal AP 5 1 1 3 8:8 4
6 Santos AP 5 0 1 4 3:14 1
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2009 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo AP 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
2 SAO Jose 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
3 Oratorio 6 1 4 1 11:11 7
4 Trem 6 1 3 2 6:4 6
5 Independente AP 6 1 2 3 14:17 5
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2009 (First stage - Play Offs)