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Mazagao vs Macapa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazagao play Macapa in the Campeonato Amapaense 2008. Mazagao are favorites here. Recently, Mazagao averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Macapa averaged 1.42 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Mazagao won 1, Macapa won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2008 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Mazagao and 1.56 for Macapa. This points to a Mazagao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mazagao
18%
Draws
22%
Macapa
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Mazagao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Mazagao picked up more points recently compared to Macapa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Mazagao Clean Sheet 15%
Macapa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazagao Macapa
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.52 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2008 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Macapa
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazagao 57 / 100
Macapa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazagao Macapa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazagao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Mazagao & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mazagao attacking → ← attacking Macapa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazagao scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Macapa let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mazagao went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Macapa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 26
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Trem953122:918
2SAO Jose944119:916
3Mazagao934214:1313
4Cristal AP925210:811
5Ypiranga AP92529:811
6Independente AP92529:911
7Amapa924312:1610
8Sao Paulo AP923414:189
9Macapa923410:189
10Santos AP922514:258