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Mazagao vs Oratorio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2009
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amapaense 2009 game between Mazagao and Oratorio finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mazagao
20%
Draws
16%
Oratorio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mazagao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Oratorio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mazagao a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Amapaense 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mazagao Clean Sheet 12%
Oratorio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazagao Oratorio
Matches Played 31 52
Wins 15 22
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.52 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2011 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Oratorio
2:0
Jul 7, 2011 Amapaense
Oratorio vs Mazagao
1:0
Nov 28, 2009 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Oratorio
2:1
Oct 5, 2009 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Oratorio
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazagao 83 / 100
Oratorio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazagao Oratorio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazagao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazagao scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Oratorio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 52 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Oratorio's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mazagao VS Oratorio
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazagao

(Home)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
04 Jun
Renovacao
1 : 4
Mazagao
31 May
Mazagao
1 : 5
Portuguesa AP
23 May
Latitude Zero
2 : 1
Mazagao
14 May
Mazagao
1 : 1
Cruzeiro AP
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Oratorio

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
31 May
Oratorio
0 : 1
Imperatriz
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3
Tuna Luso
17 May
Trem
4 : 2
Oratorio
10 May
Aguia De Maraba
5 : 1
Oratorio
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santana EC 5 3 2 0 10:6 11
2 Mazagao 5 3 2 0 7:4 11
3 Macapa 5 2 2 1 13:10 8
4 Ypiranga AP 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
5 Cristal AP 5 1 1 3 8:8 4
6 Santos AP 5 0 1 4 3:14 1
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2009 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo AP 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
2 SAO Jose 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
3 Oratorio 6 1 4 1 11:11 7
4 Trem 6 1 3 2 6:4 6
5 Independente AP 6 1 2 3 14:17 5
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2009 (First stage - Play Offs)