Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2009

Oratorio

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mazagao play Oratorio in the Campeonato Amapaense 2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mazagao averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Oratorio averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. In past meetings, Mazagao won 2, Oratorio won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 16, 2011 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Mazagao and 1.75 for Oratorio. This points to a Mazagao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Mazagao

18%

Draws

32%

Oratorio

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Mazagao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Mazagao picked up more points recently compared to Oratorio.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Mazagao Clean Sheet 12%

Oratorio Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mazagao	Oratorio
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	15	12
Draws	5	5
Losses	10	17
Goals Scored	1.53	1.32
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.65
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2011 Amapaense

Mazagao vs Oratorio

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Jul 7, 2011 Amapaense

Oratorio vs Mazagao

Possession: 60% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Nov 28, 2009 Amapaense

Mazagao vs Oratorio

Possession: 60% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Oct 5, 2009 Amapaense

Mazagao vs Oratorio

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazagao 47 / 100

Oratorio 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mazagao Oratorio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mazagao or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mazagao attacking → ← attacking Oratorio

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazagao scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Oratorio let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mazagao went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Oratorio lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 41

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Santana EC	5	3	2	0	10:6	11
2	Mazagao	5	3	2	0	7:4	11
3	Macapa	5	2	2	1	13:10	8
4	Ypiranga AP	5	2	2	1	7:5	8
5	Cristal AP	5	1	1	3	8:8	4
6	Santos AP	5	0	1	4	3:14	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo AP	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
2	SAO Jose	6	3	0	3	9:10	9
3	Oratorio	6	1	4	1	11:11	7
4	Trem	6	1	3	2	6:4	6
5	Independente AP	6	1	2	3	14:17	5