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Mazagao vs Santana EC

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2
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AI Match Summary

The Amapaense 2 game between Mazagao and Santana EC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santana EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Mazagao
15%
Draws
64%
Santana EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santana EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mazagao come out ahead of Santana EC on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Santana EC taking it.
  • Regular Amapaense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Santana EC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Mazagao Clean Sheet 13%
Santana EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazagao Santana EC
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.53 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.23 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Amapaense 2
Mazagao vs Santana EC
1:3
Jun 11, 2011 Amapaense
Santana EC vs Mazagao
0:4
Nov 15, 2009 Amapaense
Mazagao vs Santana EC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazagao 19 / 100
Santana EC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazagao Santana EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santana EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazagao scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Santana EC let in goals in 91% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Mazagao went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazagao VS Santana EC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 3.5
83% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazagao

(Home)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
04 Jun
Renovacao
1 : 4
Mazagao
31 May
Mazagao
1 : 5
Portuguesa AP
23 May
Latitude Zero
2 : 1
Mazagao
14 May
Mazagao
1 : 1
Cruzeiro AP
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Santana EC

(Away)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
07 Jun
Santana EC
1 : 6
Rio Norte
28 May
Bare AP
1 : 2
Santana EC
19 May
Santana EC
3 : 0
Canario
11 May
ADEC
0 : 3
Santana EC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa AP 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
2 Cruzeiro AP 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
3 Santana EC 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Latitude Zero 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
5 Lagoa 6 1 0 5 5:14 3
6 Renovacao 6 0 1 5 3:12 1
Promotion - Amapaense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Norte 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Sao Paulo AP 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Canario 6 3 0 3 9:13 9
4 Mazagao 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
5 ADEC 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
6 Bare AP 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
Promotion - Amapaense 2 (Play Offs)