Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mazandaran vs Damash Gilan

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026 Vatani Stadium, Qa'em Shahr
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Maleki A.
85' Event
Sheikhirad A.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Mazandaran and Damash Gilan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazandaran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mazandaran
35%
Draws
18%
Damash Gilan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mazandaran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mazandaran carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mazandaran's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 68%
Damash Gilan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazandaran Damash Gilan
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 2
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.19 0.43
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.72 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Damash Gilan
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Mazandaran
1:5
Feb 29, 2016 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Damash Gilan
1:1
Oct 5, 2015 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Mazandaran
1:1
Jan 16, 2012 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Mazandaran
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazandaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Maleki A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sheikhirad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.86

Damash Gilan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazandaran 95 / 100
Damash Gilan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazandaran Damash Gilan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazandaran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damash Gilan let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Mazandaran found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Mazandaran has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mazandaran VS Damash Gilan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.57
50% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazandaran

(Home)
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0
Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Mazandaran
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Damash Gilan

(Away)
16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0
Fard
11 Jul
Pars Janoobi Jam
4 : 0
Damash Gilan
03 Jul
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
27 Jun
Havadar SC
4 : 1
Damash Gilan
21 Jun
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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