Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mazandaran vs Esteghlal TEH

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Vatani Stadium, Qa'em Shahr
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Sarabadani A.
43'
Najafi F.
45'
Hardani S.

AI Match Summary

Esteghlal TEH in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esteghlal TEH.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mazandaran
35%
Draws
34%
Esteghlal TEH
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Esteghlal TEH have won more games recently than Mazandaran.
  • Esteghlal TEH are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 20%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazandaran Esteghlal TEH
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.1 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mazandaran vs Esteghlal TEH
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Mazandaran
1:0
Sep 20, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mazandaran vs Esteghlal TEH
2:2
May 24, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mazandaran vs Esteghlal TEH
0:0
Dec 19, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Mazandaran
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazandaran Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Esteghlal TEH Compare

Top Goalscorer Azadi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazandaran 20 / 100
Esteghlal TEH 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazandaran Esteghlal TEH

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esteghlal TEH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazandaran found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mazandaran remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Esteghlal TEH conceded in 41% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mazandaran VS Esteghlal TEH
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazandaran

(Home)
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0
Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Mazandaran
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Esteghlal TEH

(Away)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al-Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0
Paykan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
28 Aug
Foolad
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 7 5 1 1 8:1 16
2 Esteghlal TEH 7 4 3 0 9:1 15
3 Persepolis 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
4 Aluminium Arak 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
5 Sepahan 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
6 Gol Gohar 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
7 Foolad 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
8 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
9 Mazandaran 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
10 Chadormalu 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
11 Fajr Sepasi 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
12 Malavan 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
13 Kheybar Khorramabad 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
14 Zob Ahan 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 7 0 5 2 5:10 5
18 Sanat Naft 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)