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Mazandaran vs Havadar SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026 Vatani Stadium, Qa'em Shahr
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Match Events

41' Event
Setayesh A. M.
53' Event
Ghaseminejad A.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Mazandaran and Havadar SC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Havadar SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Mazandaran
30%
Draws
8%
Havadar SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mazandaran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mazandaran come out ahead of Havadar SC on wins alone.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Mazandaran taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 20%
Havadar SC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazandaran Havadar SC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 14
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.12 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Havadar SC
0:2
Dec 12, 2025 Azadegan League
Havadar SC vs Mazandaran
1:1
May 1, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mazandaran vs Havadar SC
0:0
Dec 20, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Havadar SC vs Mazandaran
0:1
May 28, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Havadar SC vs Mazandaran
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazandaran Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Havadar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Setayesh A. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ghaseminejad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazandaran 85 / 100
Havadar SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazandaran Havadar SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazandaran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazandaran found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Mazandaran remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Havadar SC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazandaran VS Havadar SC
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazandaran

(Home)
08 Oct
Mazandaran
1 : 1
Zob Ahan
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0
Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
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Havadar SC

(Away)
05 Oct
Havadar SC
0 : 1
Pars Janoobi Jam
28 Sept
Ario Eslamshahr
2 : 0
Havadar SC
22 Sept
Havadar SC
0 : 3
Besat Kermanshah
16 Sept
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0
Havadar SC
16 Jul
Shenavarsazi Qeshm
3 : 0
Havadar SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)