Sport Picks
Mazandaran vs Shahrdari Noshahr
Iran
Azadegan League 2025/2026 Vatani Stadium, Qa'em Shahr 
Match Events
21'
21'
Tohidast M.
52'
52'
Rezazadeh P.
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Mazandaran and Shahrdari Noshahr finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazandaran.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mazandaran
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mazandaran come out ahead of Shahrdari Noshahr on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 68%
Shahrdari Noshahr Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mazandaran | Shahrdari Noshahr |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.87 | 0.66 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 9, 2026 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Shahrdari Noshahr
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Mazandaran
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mazandaran Compare
Top Goalscorer Tohidast M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rezazadeh P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.43
Shahrdari Noshahr Compare
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.37
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mazandaran 41 / 100
Shahrdari Noshahr 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mazandaran Shahrdari Noshahr
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mazandaran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mazandaran scored in 73% of their last 33 games.
Shahrdari Noshahr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Mazandaran remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mazandaran VS Shahrdari Noshahr
0.88 Goals Scored 0.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.86
50% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mazandaran
(Home) 13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1 Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0 Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1 Mazandaran
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2 Shams Azar Qazvin
23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Mazandaran
Page 1 of 7
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0 Kheybar Khorramabad
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2 Shams Azar Qazvin
18 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 1 Esteghlal TEH
17 Jul
Mazandaran
1 : 2 Ario Eslamshahr
03 Jul
Mazandaran
0 : 2 Havadar SC
Page 1 of 3
Shahrdari Noshahr
(Away) 16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1 Niroye Zamini
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1 Mes Kerman
21 Jun
Sanat Naft
1 : 1 Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
21 Jun
Sanat Naft
1 : 1 Shahrdari Noshahr
10 Jun
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 0 Shahrdari Noshahr
02 Jun
Ario Eslamshahr
1 : 1 Shahrdari Noshahr
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
Promotion - Persian Gulf Pro League (Main)
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