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Mazarron FC vs Santomera Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
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Match Events

12' Event
Rodriguez A.
15' Event
Taborda J.
21' Event
Jimenez D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Mazarron FC and Santomera finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazarron FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Mazarron FC
20%
Draws
74%
Santomera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santomera come out ahead of Mazarron FC on wins alone.
  • Santomera are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Mazarron FC Clean Sheet 16%
Santomera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazarron FC Santomera
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Santomera
5:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Mazarron FC
0:1
Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Santomera
1:3
Aug 30, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Mazarron FC
1:1
Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Mazarron FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazarron FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Taborda J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Santomera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazarron FC 11 / 100
Santomera 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazarron FC Santomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santomera has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Mazarron FC scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Mazarron FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazarron FC VS Santomera
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazarron FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Mazarron FC
0 : 1
Minerva
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2
Cotillas CD
Page 1 of 6

Santomera

(Away)
04 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3
Santomera
27 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 2
Santomera
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)