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Mazatlan FC U21 vs Necaxa U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026 Estadio Deportivo Benito Juarez, Mazatlan
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
28' Event
Saavedra Nevarez A. A.

AI Match Summary

Mazatlan FC U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazatlan FC U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Mazatlan FC U21
15%
Draws
64%
Necaxa U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Necaxa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Necaxa U21 lately — more wins on the board than Mazatlan FC U21.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Necaxa U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mazatlan FC U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazatlan FC U21 Necaxa U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 0 0
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.95 1.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Mazatlan FC U21
1:0
Nov 7, 2025 Liga MX U21
Mazatlan FC U21 vs Necaxa U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazatlan FC U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Saavedra Nevarez A. A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.47

Necaxa U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazatlan FC U21 10 / 100
Necaxa U21 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazatlan FC U21 Necaxa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Necaxa U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Necaxa U21 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Mazatlan FC U21 found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Mazatlan FC U21 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mazatlan FC U21 VS Necaxa U21
0.4 Goals Scored 1.25
2.4 Goals Conceded 1.5
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazatlan FC U21

(Home)
25 Apr
Tigres UANL U21
2 : 0
Mazatlan FC U21
22 Apr
Mazatlan FC U21
2 : 1
Toluca U21
17 Apr
Mazatlan FC U21
0 : 4
Queretaro U21
12 Apr
UNAM Pumas U21
4 : 0
Mazatlan FC U21
03 Apr
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Mazatlan FC U21
Page 1 of 6

Necaxa U21

(Away)
27 Sept
Necaxa U21
1 : 0
Club America U21
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tigres UANL U21 17 14 0 3 36:13 43
2 Pachuca U21 17 13 0 4 38:12 39
3 Santos Laguna U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 30
4 Cruz Azul U21 17 10 0 7 21:20 29
5 Toluca U21 17 10 0 7 22:17 28
6 Juarez U21 17 8 0 9 14:12 27
7 UNAM Pumas U21 17 9 0 8 26:30 27
8 Club Tijuana U21 17 8 0 9 23:24 26
9 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 9 0 8 22:23 26
10 Puebla U21 17 10 0 7 13:18 26
11 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 26:24 25
12 Necaxa U21 17 9 0 8 13:19 22
13 Club America U21 17 6 0 11 14:22 21
14 Monterrey U21 17 7 0 10 26:33 20
15 Mazatlan FC U21 17 6 0 11 21:28 19
16 Atletico San Luis U21 17 6 0 11 23:32 19
17 Atlas U21 17 7 0 10 22:33 18
18 Queretaro U21 17 3 0 14 16:28 14
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)