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Stadium Background

Mazembe vs Aigles du Congo

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazembe in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mazembe
30%
Draws
31%
Aigles du Congo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Mazembe have won more games recently than Aigles du Congo.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Mazembe taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
Aigles du Congo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazembe Aigles du Congo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 14
Draws 4 11
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.8 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.43 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Aigles du Congo
2:0
May 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Aigles du Congo vs Mazembe
0:0
Jun 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Aigles du Congo
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Aigles du Congo vs Mazembe
3:0
May 29, 2024 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Aigles du Congo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazembe 85 / 100
Aigles du Congo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazembe Aigles du Congo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazembe's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Mazembe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Aigles du Congo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mazembe VS Aigles du Congo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazembe

(Home)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Aigles du Congo
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1
Mazembe
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Aigles du Congo

(Away)
20 Jun
Don Bosco
1 : 2
Aigles du Congo
17 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 1
Aigles du Congo
14 Jun
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
Simba
11 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Jun
Aigles du Congo
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 14 9 3 2 25:7 30
2 Aigles du Congo 14 8 5 1 21:10 29
3 AS Maniema 14 7 2 5 16:16 23
4 AS Vita Club 14 5 4 5 11:12 19
5 St Eloi Lupopo 14 4 6 4 11:9 18
6 Don Bosco 14 4 5 5 13:17 17
7 Simba 14 2 5 7 9:18 11
8 Celeste 14 0 4 10 8:25 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)