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Mazembe vs AS Maniema

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Mazembe Logo

Mazembe

3 - 0
FT
AS Maniema Logo

AS Maniema

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Mazembe and AS Maniema finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Mazembe
20%
Draws
35%
AS Maniema
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Mazembe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mazembe are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
AS Maniema Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazembe AS Maniema
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.77 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.47 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Ligue 1
AS Maniema vs Mazembe
2:1
May 21, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs AS Maniema
3:0
Jun 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs AS Maniema
1:0
May 4, 2025 Ligue 1
AS Maniema vs Mazembe
3:0
May 26, 2024 Ligue 1
AS Maniema vs Mazembe
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazembe 76 / 100
AS Maniema 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazembe AS Maniema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mazembe scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Mazembe went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

AS Maniema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mazembe VS AS Maniema
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazembe

(Home)
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6

AS Maniema

(Away)
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 1
Aigles du Congo
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 2
AS Maniema
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1
Mazembe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 14 9 3 2 25:7 30
2 Aigles du Congo 14 8 5 1 21:10 29
3 AS Maniema 14 7 2 5 16:16 23
4 AS Vita Club 14 5 4 5 11:12 19
5 St Eloi Lupopo 14 4 6 4 11:9 18
6 Don Bosco 14 4 5 5 13:17 17
7 Simba 14 2 5 7 9:18 11
8 Celeste 14 0 4 10 8:25 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)