Sport Picks
Mazembe vs Groupe Bazano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
DR Congo
Ligue 1 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Mazembe and Groupe Bazano finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazembe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mazembe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mazembe come out ahead of Groupe Bazano on wins alone.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Mazembe taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Mazembe here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
Groupe Bazano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mazembe | Groupe Bazano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 28 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.39 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Groupe Bazano
1:0
Nov 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Mazembe
0:2
Mar 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Groupe Bazano
5:1
Nov 13, 2024 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Mazembe
0:1
Jan 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Groupe Bazano vs Mazembe
1:6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mazembe 85 / 100
Groupe Bazano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mazembe Groupe Bazano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mazembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mazembe found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (36 games).
Groupe Bazano has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Mazembe stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mazembe VS Groupe Bazano
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mazembe
(Home) 12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1 Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1 Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3 Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 8
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1 Medeama
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Celeste
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Aigles du Congo
03 Jun
Mazembe
4 : 1 Simba
Page 1 of 4
Groupe Bazano
(Away) 12 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
2 : 0 Groupe Bazano
10 Apr
Groupe Bazano
3 : 1 New Soger
27 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1 Groupe Bazano
15 Mar
Tanganyika
2 : 1 Groupe Bazano
10 Mar
Blessing
0 : 0 Groupe Bazano
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
St Eloi Lupopo
2 : 0 Groupe Bazano
27 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 1 Groupe Bazano
15 Mar
Tanganyika
2 : 1 Groupe Bazano
10 Mar
Blessing
0 : 0 Groupe Bazano
04 Mar
Mazembe
1 : 0 Groupe Bazano
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
