Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mazembe vs Lubumbashi Sport

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Mazembe and Lubumbashi Sport finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Mazembe
17%
Draws
13%
Lubumbashi Sport
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Mazembe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mazembe are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mazembe have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 15%
Lubumbashi Sport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazembe Lubumbashi Sport
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 30 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.25 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Mazembe
0:2
Dec 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Lubumbashi Sport
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Lubumbashi Sport
4:0
Nov 30, 2024 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Mazembe
0:3
Oct 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Lubumbashi Sport
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazembe 66 / 100
Lubumbashi Sport 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazembe Lubumbashi Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazembe found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (39 games).

Lubumbashi Sport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mazembe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazembe VS Lubumbashi Sport
2.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazembe

(Home)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Aigles du Congo
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1
Mazembe
Page 1 of 8

Lubumbashi Sport

(Away)
02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2
Tanganyika
30 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
2 : 1
US Panda
26 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
07 Mar
Simba
1 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)