Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mazembe vs Makiso

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 2024/2025
Sat, Nov 16, 2024
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazembe host Makiso in the Ligue 1 2024/2025. Mazembe are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Mazembe at 1.77 goals for, 0.47 against; Makiso at 0.83 for, 1.58 against. Past meetings favor Mazembe slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 16, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.73 vs 0.81, favoring Mazembe. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Mazembe
20%
Draws
6%
Makiso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Mazembe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Mazembe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
Makiso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazembe Makiso
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 22 2
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.77 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Makiso
0:0
Sep 18, 2024 Ligue 1
Makiso vs Mazembe
0:0
Feb 15, 2014 Ligue 1
Makiso vs Mazembe
0:3
Nov 13, 2013 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Makiso
5:0
Apr 10, 2013 Ligue 1
Makiso vs Mazembe
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazembe 85 / 100
Makiso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazembe Makiso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazembe found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Mazembe went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Makiso conceded in 75% of 12 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mazembe VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazembe

(Home)
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6

Makiso

(Away)
18 Feb
Mont Bleu
3 : 0
Makiso
07 Feb
Virunga
3 : 1
Makiso
04 Feb
Muungano
4 : 0
Makiso
01 Feb
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 0
Makiso
21 Jan
Makiso
2 : 2
AS Maniema
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 22 17 2 3 45:9 53
2 St Eloi Lupopo 22 17 2 3 33:8 53
3 Sanga Balende 22 11 4 7 24:19 37
4 Tanganyika 22 12 0 10 34:25 36
5 Simba 22 10 6 6 25:18 36
6 Don Bosco 22 8 6 8 24:20 30
7 Blessing 22 7 7 8 22:27 28
8 Groupe Bazano 22 7 3 12 21:33 24
9 Malole 22 5 8 9 14:26 23
10 Tshinkunku 22 5 7 10 7:19 22
11 Lubumbashi Sport 22 5 7 10 17:30 22
12 US Panda 22 1 2 19 8:40 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 19 13 4 2 32:10 43
2 Aigles du Congo 21 12 5 4 24:12 41
3 AC Rangers 21 9 7 5 25:16 34
4 AS Vita Club 21 7 8 6 25:18 29
5 Anges Verts 21 7 8 6 21:21 29
6 Motema Pembe 21 7 6 8 25:30 27
7 Celeste 21 7 5 9 19:25 26
8 OC Renaissance 21 4 9 8 18:27 21
9 AC Kuya 21 5 4 12 18:32 19
10 New Jack 21 3 6 12 16:29 15
11 Dauphins Noirs 12 6 1 5 14:13 19
12 Bukavu Dawa 11 3 4 4 14:13 13
13 Etoile de Kivu 11 4 1 6 8:13 13
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Championship Group)