Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Mwaungulu P.
19'
19'
Baso K.
88'
88'
Mwaungulu P.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mazembe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mazembe have won more games recently than Medeama.
- Win probability leans Mazembe's way, sitting at 90%.
- Mazembe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mazembe, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Mazembe here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
Medeama Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mazembe | Medeama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.45 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 CAF Champions League
Mazembe vs Medeama
3:1
Sep 6, 2026 CAF Champions League
Medeama vs Mazembe
0:1
Aug 14, 2016 CAF Confederation Cup
Medeama vs Mazembe
3:2
Jun 19, 2016 CAF Confederation Cup
Mazembe vs Medeama
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mazembe Compare
Top Goalscorer Mwaungulu P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Baso K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Medeama Compare
Top Goalscorer Amponsah D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mazembe 85 / 100
Medeama 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mazembe Medeama
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mazembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mazembe's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Solid form: Mazembe remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Away concern: Medeama has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mazembe VS Medeama
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mazembe
(Home) 12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1 Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1 Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3 Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1 Medeama
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Celeste
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Aigles du Congo
03 Jun
Mazembe
4 : 1 Simba
Page 1 of 4
Medeama
(Away) 12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1 Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1 Mazembe
30 Aug
Medeama
2 : 0 Nations FC
12 Aug
ASEC Mimosas
1 : 2 Medeama
08 Aug
SO Armee
2 : 1 Medeama
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1 Medeama
12 Aug
ASEC Mimosas
1 : 2 Medeama
08 Aug
SO Armee
2 : 1 Medeama
24 May
Hearts of Oak
4 : 2 Medeama
10 May
Holy Stars
0 : 1 Medeama
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 4
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al-Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al-Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland -
Petro Atletico -
African Stars -
Orlando Pirates -
TBD -
Simba -
CFFA -
Young Africans -
Asswehly -
Esperance Tunis -
APR -
Zamalek -
EL Merriekh Bentiu -
Pyramids -
Sidama Bunna -
Al-Hilal Omdurman -
Star Sport Academy -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez -
ASEC Mimosas -
Teungueth -
Colombe -
Rangers International -
MC Alger -
San Pedro -
Nouadhibou -
Horoya -
Al-Merreikh -
Mazembe -
Club Africain -
