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Mazembe vs St Eloi Lupopo

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Sun, Mar 8, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazembe host St Eloi Lupopo in the Ligue 1. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. St Eloi Lupopo have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Mazembe have conceded 0.38 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Mazembe have won 0 to St Eloi Lupopo's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.56) point toward Mazembe. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Mazembe
11%
Draws
9%
St Eloi Lupopo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Mazembe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mazembe's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
St Eloi Lupopo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazembe St Eloi Lupopo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs St Eloi Lupopo
0:0
May 5, 2026 Ligue 1
St Eloi Lupopo vs Mazembe
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs St Eloi Lupopo
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 1
St Eloi Lupopo vs Mazembe
2:1
Jun 24, 2025 Ligue 1
St Eloi Lupopo vs Mazembe
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazembe 76 / 100
St Eloi Lupopo 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazembe St Eloi Lupopo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mazembe's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mazembe stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

St Eloi Lupopo let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mazembe VS St Eloi Lupopo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00