Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Mazembe in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazembe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
30%
9%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mazembe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Tshinkunku haven't matched Mazembe's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Mazembe's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 20%
Tshinkunku Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mazembe | Tshinkunku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 42 | 30 |
| Wins | 33 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.4 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Tshinkunku
3:1
Dec 18, 2025 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Mazembe
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Tshinkunku
3:0
Jan 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Mazembe
0:2
Dec 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Tshinkunku
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mazembe 85 / 100
Tshinkunku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mazembe Tshinkunku
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mazembe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mazembe scored in 86% of their last 42 games.
Mazembe has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Tshinkunku conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Mazembe VS Tshinkunku
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Mazembe
(Home) 12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1 Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1 Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3 Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
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12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1 Medeama
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Celeste
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
11 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0 Aigles du Congo
03 Jun
Mazembe
4 : 1 Simba
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Tshinkunku
(Away) 15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2 Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1 Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
25 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 Don Bosco
18 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
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15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2 Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1 Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
11 Feb
Tshikas
0 : 1 Tshinkunku
01 Feb
Saint-Luc
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
