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Mazidagi vs Erciyes 38

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Elkatmis M.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Cavdar H.
Assist: Caglar N.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 game between Mazidagi and Erciyes 38 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazidagi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mazidagi
39%
Draws
30%
Erciyes 38
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erciyes 38 come out ahead of Mazidagi on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Mazidagi Clean Sheet 21%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazidagi Erciyes 38
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 12 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Erciyes 38 vs Mazidagi
2:0
Apr 23, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Mazidagi vs Erciyes 38
1:1
Mar 25, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Mazidagi vs Erciyes 38
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Erciyes 38 vs Mazidagi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazidagi Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavdar H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Erciyes 38 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazidagi 32 / 100
Erciyes 38 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazidagi Erciyes 38

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mazidagi scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Erciyes 38 let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mazidagi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazidagi VS Erciyes 38
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazidagi

(Home)
27 Apr
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Mazidagi
23 Apr
Mazidagi
1 : 1
Erciyes 38
18 Apr
Mazidagi
3 : 0
Turk Metal 1963
12 Apr
Nigde
0 : 1
Mazidagi
05 Apr
Mazidagi
0 : 2
Kahramanmarasspor
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Erciyes 38

(Away)
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
27 Apr
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Mazidagi
23 Apr
Mazidagi
1 : 1
Erciyes 38
18 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 2
Nigde
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 Bingol Spor30179460:2860
2Erciyes 38301310742:3149
3Silifke301212641:2648
4Malatya30138945:3547
5Mazidagi301211732:2447
6Agri 197030129957:3345
7Karakopru301281038:4244
8Osmaniyespor301261242:4042
9Nigde301181144:3641
10Kirikkale FK301171239:5140
11Kirsehir SK307131037:3834
12Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)308101233:4234
13Kahramanmarasspor307111235:4832
14Kilis Bld.30861625:5330
15Suvermez Kapadokyaspor305131229:4728
16Turk Metal 1963304111530:5520
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)