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Stadium Background

Mazidagi vs Erciyes 38

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Elkatmis M.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Cavdar H.
Assist: Caglar N.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 game between Mazidagi and Erciyes 38 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazidagi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mazidagi
30%
Draws
31%
Erciyes 38
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mazidagi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mazidagi come out ahead of Erciyes 38 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mazidagi a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Mazidagi Clean Sheet 68%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazidagi Erciyes 38
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Erciyes 38 vs Mazidagi
2:0
Apr 23, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Mazidagi vs Erciyes 38
1:1
Mar 25, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Mazidagi vs Erciyes 38
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Erciyes 38 vs Mazidagi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mazidagi Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavdar H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Erciyes 38 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazidagi 77 / 100
Erciyes 38 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazidagi Erciyes 38

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazidagi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mazidagi scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Erciyes 38 let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mazidagi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mazidagi VS Erciyes 38
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazidagi

(Home)
26 Sept
Mazidagi
4 : 1
Osmaniyespor
20 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 0
Mazidagi
13 Sept
Mazidagi
3 : 0
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
06 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
1 : 3
Mazidagi
27 Apr
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Mazidagi
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Erciyes 38

(Away)
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
12 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
06 Sept
Agri 1970
0 : 1
Erciyes 38
08 May
Erciyes 38
3 : 4
Malatya
04 May
Malatya
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 12 Bingol Spor 30 17 9 4 60:28 60
2 Erciyes 38 30 13 10 7 42:31 49
3 Silifke 30 12 12 6 41:26 48
4 Malatya 30 13 8 9 45:35 47
5 Mazidagi 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Agri 1970 30 12 9 9 57:33 45
7 Karakopru 30 12 8 10 38:42 44
8 Osmaniyespor 30 12 6 12 42:40 42
9 Nigde 30 11 8 11 44:36 41
10 Kirikkale FK 30 11 7 12 39:51 40
11 Kirsehir SK 30 7 13 10 37:38 34
12 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 8 10 12 33:42 34
13 Kahramanmarasspor 30 7 11 12 35:48 32
14 Kilis Bld. 30 8 6 16 25:53 30
15 Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 30 5 13 12 29:47 28
16 Turk Metal 1963 30 4 11 15 30:55 20
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)