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Mazorqueros vs Chilpancingo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023
Sat, Mar 18, 2023
2 - 3
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chilpancingo in this Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chilpancingo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Mazorqueros
15%
Draws
53%
Chilpancingo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chilpancingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Mazorqueros average 1.4 goals a game right now, well clear of Chilpancingo's 1.32.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Mazorqueros Clean Sheet 16%
Chilpancingo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mazorqueros Chilpancingo
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Mazorqueros vs Chilpancingo
2:3
Oct 22, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilpancingo vs Mazorqueros
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mazorqueros 36 / 100
Chilpancingo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mazorqueros Chilpancingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chilpancingo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chilpancingo conceded in 84% of 37 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Mazorqueros scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Mazorqueros remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chilpancingo
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mazorqueros

(Home)
25 Mar
Tho Mayas
2 : 0
Mazorqueros
18 Mar
Mazorqueros
2 : 3
Chilpancingo
11 Mar
Canoneros FC
1 : 2
Mazorqueros
04 Mar
Mazorqueros
1 : 2
Calor De San Pedro
25 Feb
Ciervos
2 : 4
Mazorqueros
Page 1 of 6

Chilpancingo

(Away)
11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2
Chilpancingo
28 Mar
Chilpancingo
2 : 1
Correcaminos 2
22 Mar
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Chilpancingo
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1
Zitacuaro
06 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
0 : 1
Chilpancingo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calor De San Pedro 10 7 2 1 20:5 24
2 Tho Mayas 10 6 3 1 17:6 23
3 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 18:6 20
4 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 10 5 2 3 19:4 17
5 Chilpancingo 10 5 2 3 14:12 16
6 Huracanes Izcalli 10 4 2 4 15:15 15
7 Mazorqueros 10 4 1 5 13:13 15
8 Zitacuaro 10 3 4 3 15:12 12
9 Atl. Angelopolis 10 3 0 7 8:26 9
10 Ciervos 10 1 1 8 14:30 6
11 Canoneros FC 10 1 1 8 9:33 4
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)