Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mbale Heroes vs Blacks Power

Uganda Uganda

Big League Mbale Municipal Stadium, Mbale
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mbale Heroes
15%
Draws
85%
Blacks Power
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blacks Power

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mbale Heroes haven't matched Blacks Power's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Blacks Power's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Mbale Heroes Clean Sheet 10%
Blacks Power Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbale Heroes Blacks Power
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.23 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Big League
Blacks Power vs Mbale Heroes
4:0
Jan 8, 2026 Big League
Mbale Heroes vs Blacks Power
0:0
May 12, 2024 Big League
Blacks Power vs Mbale Heroes
0:2
Dec 10, 2023 Big League
Mbale Heroes vs Blacks Power
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbale Heroes 10 / 100
Blacks Power 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbale Heroes Blacks Power

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blacks Power Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Mbale Heroes's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Blacks Power has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Blacks Power has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mbale Heroes VS Blacks Power
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbale Heroes

(Home)
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Blacks Power
4 : 0
Mbale Heroes
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

Blacks Power

(Away)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Police
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
Promotion - Premier League (Main)