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Mbale Heroes vs Catda

Uganda Uganda

Big League Mbale Municipal Stadium, Mbale
Mbale Heroes Logo

Mbale Heroes

2 - 1
FT
Catda Logo

Catda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mbale Heroes in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mbale Heroes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mbale Heroes
15%
Draws
85%
Catda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Catda lately — more wins on the board than Mbale Heroes.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Catda taking it.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Mbale Heroes Clean Sheet 17%
Catda Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbale Heroes Catda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.67 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Big League
Mbale Heroes vs Catda
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Big League
Catda vs Mbale Heroes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbale Heroes 10 / 100
Catda 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbale Heroes Catda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catda let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Mbale Heroes's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Catda lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mbale Heroes VS Catda
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbale Heroes

(Home)
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Blacks Power
4 : 0
Mbale Heroes
17 May
Young Elephant
7 : 0
Mbale Heroes
09 May
Mbale Heroes
0 : 1
Onduparaka
03 May
Nebbi Central
3 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

Catda

(Away)
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
23 May
Catda
1 : 0
Onduparaka
17 May
Nebbi Central
1 : 1
Catda
09 May
Catda
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
03 May
Bunyaruguru
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacks Power 30 16 7 7 35:18 55
2 Ntugasaze 30 14 11 5 42:22 53
3 Kataka 30 16 3 11 40:26 51
4 Kigezi HomeBoyz 30 14 9 7 36:22 51
5 Paidha Black Angels 30 15 7 8 33:23 50
6 Bunyaruguru 30 12 7 11 31:25 43
7 Young Elephant 30 12 6 12 44:40 42
8 Kiyinda Boys 30 12 6 12 40:31 40
9 Iganga United 30 11 5 14 30:33 38
10 Catda 30 9 10 11 24:32 37
11 Kaaro Karungi 30 10 8 12 26:30 36
12 Onduparaka 30 9 9 12 24:32 36
13 Nebbi Central 30 9 9 12 35:42 34
14 Bright Stars 30 7 11 12 25:31 32
15 Wakiso Giants 30 8 7 15 31:48 31
16 Mbale Heroes 30 6 5 19 14:67 17
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