Sport Picks
Mbale Heroes vs Kaaro Karungi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uganda
Big League 2025/2026 Mbale Municipal Stadium, Mbale 
AI Match Summary
The Big League 2025/2026 game between Mbale Heroes and Kaaro Karungi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mbale Heroes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kaaro Karungi carry the better recent record into this one.
- Kaaro Karungi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Big League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbale Heroes | Kaaro Karungi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Kaaro Karungi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Mbale Heroes found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).
Kaaro Karungi has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mbale Heroes
(Home)Kaaro Karungi
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacks Power | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 35:18 | 55 |
| 2 | Ntugasaze | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 42:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Kataka | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 40:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 51 |
| 5 | Paidha Black Angels | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 33:23 | 50 |
| 6 | Bunyaruguru | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31:25 | 43 |
| 7 | Young Elephant | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44:40 | 42 |
| 8 | Kiyinda Boys | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 40:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Iganga United | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 10 | Catda | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 24:32 | 37 |
| 11 | Kaaro Karungi | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 26:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Onduparaka | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24:32 | 36 |
| 13 | Nebbi Central | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 35:42 | 34 |
| 14 | Bright Stars | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25:31 | 32 |
| 15 | Wakiso Giants | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 31:48 | 31 |
| 16 | Mbale Heroes | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 14:67 | 17 |
