Sport Picks
Mbale Heroes vs Onduparaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uganda
Big League 2025/2026 Mbale Municipal Stadium, Mbale 
AI Match Summary
The Big League 2025/2026 game between Mbale Heroes and Onduparaka finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Onduparaka.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Onduparaka carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Onduparaka's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbale Heroes | Onduparaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Onduparaka conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Mbale Heroes scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Onduparaka lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mbale Heroes
(Home)Onduparaka
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacks Power | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 35:18 | 55 |
| 2 | Ntugasaze | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 42:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Kataka | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 40:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 51 |
| 5 | Paidha Black Angels | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 33:23 | 50 |
| 6 | Bunyaruguru | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31:25 | 43 |
| 7 | Young Elephant | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44:40 | 42 |
| 8 | Kiyinda Boys | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 40:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Iganga United | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 10 | Catda | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 24:32 | 37 |
| 11 | Kaaro Karungi | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 26:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Onduparaka | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24:32 | 36 |
| 13 | Nebbi Central | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 35:42 | 34 |
| 14 | Bright Stars | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25:31 | 32 |
| 15 | Wakiso Giants | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 31:48 | 31 |
| 16 | Mbale Heroes | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 14:67 | 17 |
