Sport Picks

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Mbao vs Ndanda

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Waziri J.
66' Event
John J.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Mbao and Ndanda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mbao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mbao
30%
Draws
23%
Ndanda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mbao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ndanda haven't matched Mbao's recent run of results.
  • Mbao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Mbao Clean Sheet 20%
Ndanda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbao Ndanda
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.97 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Ndanda
2:0
Feb 5, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Mbao
3:0
May 4, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Ndanda
1:0
Dec 2, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Ndanda vs Mbao
0:0
May 10, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Ndanda
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mbao Compare

Top Goalscorer Waziri J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader John J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ndanda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbao 85 / 100
Ndanda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbao Ndanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mbao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Mbao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Mbao scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ndanda conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mbao VS Ndanda
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbao

(Home)
01 Aug
Mbao
4 : 2
Singida Black Stars
29 Jul
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0
Mbao
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0
Ndanda
22 Jul
Mbao
3 : 0
Namungo
19 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1
Mbao
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Ndanda

(Away)
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0
Ndanda
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2
Ndanda
18 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 1
Mbeya City
15 Jul
Ndanda
2 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Ndanda
0 : 0
JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)