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Mbarara City vs Blacks Power Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Premier League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mbarara City host Blacks Power in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Blacks Power have shipped 0.71 goals a game lately, while Mbarara City have conceded 1.33 and scored 0.78. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.56 vs 1.19, favoring Blacks Power. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mbarara City
30%
Draws
47%
Blacks Power
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Blacks Power

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mbarara City haven't matched Blacks Power's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mbarara City Clean Sheet 20%
Blacks Power Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbarara City Blacks Power
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.78 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbarara City 36 / 100
Blacks Power 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbarara City Blacks Power

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blacks Power Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbarara City scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Blacks Power conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Mbarara City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Blacks Power registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mbarara City VS Blacks Power
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbarara City

(Home)
16 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
Entebbe UPPC
11 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0
NEC FC
29 Aug
Police
1 : 0
Mbarara City
23 May
Kampala City
4 : 1
Mbarara City
19 May
Mbarara City
2 : 0
Buhimba
Page 1 of 6

Blacks Power

(Away)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Police
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)