Sport Picks
Mbarara City vs Entebbe UPPC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uganda
Premier League Rwamwanja stadium, Nkoma 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Entebbe UPPC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Entebbe UPPC lately — more wins on the board than Mbarara City.
- Entebbe UPPC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Mbarara City Clean Sheet 19%
Entebbe UPPC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbarara City | Entebbe UPPC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 0.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Premier League
Mbarara City vs Entebbe UPPC
0:0
Feb 17, 2026 Premier League
Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City
1:0
Dec 3, 2025 Premier League
Mbarara City vs Entebbe UPPC
1:1
Mar 13, 2024 Premier League
Mbarara City vs Entebbe UPPC
5:0
Nov 11, 2023 Premier League
Entebbe UPPC vs Mbarara City
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mbarara City 20 / 100
Entebbe UPPC 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mbarara City Entebbe UPPC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Entebbe UPPC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Mbarara City scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Entebbe UPPC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.
Mbarara City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mbarara City VS Entebbe UPPC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mbarara City
(Home) 07 Oct
Ntugasaze
1 : 0 Mbarara City
16 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0 Entebbe UPPC
11 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0 NEC FC
29 Aug
Police
1 : 0 Mbarara City
23 May
Kampala City
4 : 1 Mbarara City
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0 Entebbe UPPC
11 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0 NEC FC
19 May
Mbarara City
2 : 0 Buhimba
13 May
Mbarara City
1 : 3 Villa
28 Apr
Mbarara City
2 : 1 Express FC
Page 1 of 3
Entebbe UPPC
(Away) 16 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0 Entebbe UPPC
09 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
0 : 1 Lugazi
01 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
2 : 1 UPDF FC
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1 Entebbe UPPC
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0 BUL
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Mbarara City
0 : 0 Entebbe UPPC
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1 Entebbe UPPC
19 May
Police
1 : 1 Entebbe UPPC
12 May
Maroons
0 : 0 Entebbe UPPC
26 Apr
Vipers
3 : 0 Entebbe UPPC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Villa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 11 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 9 |
| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Vipers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 8 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Lugazi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 10 | Kitara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 11 | Express FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 12 | UPDF FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 13 | Kampala City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 14 | Uganda Revenue | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)
