Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium

Mbeya City

0 - 0

Azam

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Msindo P.

54'

Lidah H.

57'

Sub

Diakite C. In: Kitambala J.

Out: Diakite C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Mbeya City and Azam finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Mbeya City

20%

Draws

38%

Azam

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Azam carry the better recent record into this one.
42% — that's where the model lands on Mbeya City taking it.
Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%

Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%

Azam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mbeya City	Azam
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	20
Draws	9	6
Losses	14	4
Goals Scored	1	1.88
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Azam

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Sep 24, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Azam vs Mbeya City

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Dec 31, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Azam vs Mbeya City

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

6:1

Sep 13, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Azam

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

May 10, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Azam

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 4 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya City 51 / 100

Azam 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mbeya City Azam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Mbeya City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Mbeya City scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Azam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 23% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya City VS Azam

1 Goals Scored 1.88

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63

63% Over 1.5 88%

13% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9