Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Mbeya City play Kinondoni MC in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Mbeya City are favorites here. Recently, Mbeya City averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Kinondoni MC averaged 0.53 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Mbeya City won 3, Kinondoni MC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Mbeya City and 1.13 for Kinondoni MC. This points to a Mbeya City double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mbeya City picked up more points recently compared to Kinondoni MC.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.13 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mbeya City | Kinondoni MC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 25 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mbeya City Compare
Kinondoni MC Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mbeya City scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Kinondoni MC let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Mbeya City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Kinondoni MC lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |