Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mbeya City vs TRA United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya
Mbeya City Logo

Mbeya City

0 - 0
FT
TRA United Logo

TRA United

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
46'
58'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Mbeya City and TRA United finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mbeya City
30%
Draws
23%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • TRA United's 1.03 goals per match outpaces what Mbeya City have produced (0.87).
  • Win probability leans Mbeya City's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 20%
TRA United Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbeya City TRA United
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Mbeya City
0:0
Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs TRA United
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Mbeya City
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya City 40 / 100
TRA United 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbeya City TRA United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mbeya City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TRA United has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Mbeya City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mbeya City found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 0.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya City VS TRA United
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbeya City

(Home)
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 7

TRA United

(Away)
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1
Dodoma Jiji
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)