Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mbeya Kwanza vs Mbeya City

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022
Mbeya Kwanza Logo

Mbeya Kwanza

0 - 0
FT
Mbeya City Logo

Mbeya City

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 game between Mbeya Kwanza and Mbeya City finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mbeya Kwanza
15%
Draws
85%
Mbeya City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mbeya Kwanza haven't matched Mbeya City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mbeya City a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Mbeya Kwanza Clean Sheet 10%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbeya Kwanza Mbeya City
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.57 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya Kwanza vs Mbeya City
0:0
Oct 3, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Mbeya Kwanza
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya Kwanza 10 / 100
Mbeya City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbeya Kwanza Mbeya City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mbeya City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbeya City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mbeya Kwanza scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Mbeya City lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya Kwanza VS Mbeya City
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbeya Kwanza

(Home)
05 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
3 : 1
Mbeya Kwanza
28 Jun
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 4
Polisi Tanzania
13 Mar
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2
Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
Page 1 of 6

Mbeya City

(Away)
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 22 8 0 49:8 74
2 Simba 30 17 10 3 41:14 61
3 Azam 30 14 7 9 41:28 49
4 Geita Gold 30 12 10 8 32:26 46
5 Namungo 30 10 11 9 42:34 41
6 Kagera Sugar 30 9 12 9 20:25 39
7 Coastal Union 30 10 8 12 22:31 38
8 Polisi Tanzania 30 8 13 9 21:23 37
9 Mbeya City 30 8 13 9 25:29 37
10 Kinondoni MC 30 8 11 11 34:35 35
11 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 8 13 25:37 35
12 Ruvu Shooting 30 8 10 12 28:39 34
13 Mtibwa Sugar 30 7 10 13 25:34 31
14 Tanzania Prisons 30 7 8 15 21:34 29
15 Biashara Mara United 30 5 13 12 23:35 28
16 Mbeya Kwanza 30 5 10 15 22:39 25
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)