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Stadium Background

Mbeya Kwanza vs Polisi Tanzania

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kazimoto N.
25' Event
Tariq S.
72' Event
Kazimoto N.

AI Match Summary

Polisi Tanzania in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polisi Tanzania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Mbeya Kwanza
11%
Draws
80%
Polisi Tanzania
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Polisi Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Mbeya Kwanza haven't matched Polisi Tanzania's recent run of results.
  • Polisi Tanzania are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mbeya Kwanza Clean Sheet 10%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbeya Kwanza Polisi Tanzania
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.2 1
Goals Conceded 2.8 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.80 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya Kwanza
3:1
Jun 28, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya Kwanza vs Polisi Tanzania
0:4
Apr 16, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya Kwanza
1:1
Nov 1, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya Kwanza vs Polisi Tanzania
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mbeya Kwanza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.15
Avg xA / game 0.1

Polisi Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazimoto N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tariq S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya Kwanza 10 / 100
Polisi Tanzania 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbeya Kwanza Polisi Tanzania

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Polisi Tanzania let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Mbeya Kwanza found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Polisi Tanzania lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya Kwanza VS Polisi Tanzania
0.2 Goals Scored 1
2.8 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
60% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tanzania Prisons0
Mbeya City2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Polisi Tanzania7
Mbeya Kwanza1
Final
Mbeya City-
TBD-
Tanzania Prisons1
Polisi Tanzania4