Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mbeya Kwanza vs Simba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022
Mbeya Kwanza Logo

Mbeya Kwanza

0 - 0
FT
Simba Logo

Simba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mbeya Kwanza
15%
Draws
85%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Simba lately — more wins on the board than Mbeya Kwanza.
  • Model gives Simba a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Mbeya Kwanza Clean Sheet 10%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbeya Kwanza Simba
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 4 35
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 1
Goals Scored 0.57 2.05
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya Kwanza vs Simba
0:0
Feb 6, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Mbeya Kwanza
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbeya Kwanza 10 / 100
Simba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbeya Kwanza Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mbeya Kwanza found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Simba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 29% of 42 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mbeya Kwanza VS Simba
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mbeya Kwanza

(Home)
05 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
3 : 1
Mbeya Kwanza
28 Jun
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 4
Polisi Tanzania
13 Mar
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2
Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0
Mbeya Kwanza
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
13 Sept
Simba
6 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 22 8 0 49:8 74
2 Simba 30 17 10 3 41:14 61
3 Azam 30 14 7 9 41:28 49
4 Geita Gold 30 12 10 8 32:26 46
5 Namungo 30 10 11 9 42:34 41
6 Kagera Sugar 30 9 12 9 20:25 39
7 Coastal Union 30 10 8 12 22:31 38
8 Polisi Tanzania 30 8 13 9 21:23 37
9 Mbeya City 30 8 13 9 25:29 37
10 Kinondoni MC 30 8 11 11 34:35 35
11 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 8 13 25:37 35
12 Ruvu Shooting 30 8 10 12 28:39 34
13 Mtibwa Sugar 30 7 10 13 25:34 31
14 Tanzania Prisons 30 7 8 15 21:34 29
15 Biashara Mara United 30 5 13 12 23:35 28
16 Mbeya Kwanza 30 5 10 15 22:39 25
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)