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Mbombela vs Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Stoffels L.
33' Event
Sekome P.
90' Event
Brown D.

AI Match Summary

Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila in this Nedbank Cup 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mbombela
6%
Draws
4%
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mbombela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mbombela lately — more wins on the board than Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mbombela taking it.
  • Cup games in Nedbank Cup 2019/2020 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Mbombela Clean Sheet 68%
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mbombela Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2020 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila vs Mbombela
1:1
Feb 22, 2020 Nedbank Cup
Mbombela vs Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
1:2
Dec 7, 2019 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Mbombela vs Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
1:2
Apr 21, 2019 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Mbombela vs Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
1:3
Dec 8, 2018 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila vs Mbombela
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mbombela Compare

Top Goalscorer Sekome P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoffels L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mbombela 95 / 100
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mbombela Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MBO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Mbombela has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Zizwe United-
TBD-
TBD-
Happy Wanderers-
Richards Bay1
Cape Town Spurs2
Free State Stars1
TS Sporting2
Royal AM-
TBD-
TBD-
AmaZulu-
Stellenbosch FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Durban City-
Polokwane City-
TBD-
TBD-
Baroka-
Jomo Cosmos2
Pretoria U.1
TBD-
Hungry Lions-
Black Leopards-
TBD-
TBD-
North West University Mafikeng-
Amavarara-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Eagles-
Highlands-
TBD-
Marumo Gallants3
Uthongathi4
Kaizer Chiefs-
TBD-
Swallows FC1
Royal Eagles FC2
Mamelodi Sundowns-
TBD-
TBD-
Supersport Utd-
Vaal University of Technology-
TBD-
TBD-
Golden Arrows-
Mbombela1
JDR Stars0
TBD-
Cape Town City-
Passion-
TBD-
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila3
Steenberg United1
Orlando Pirates-
TBD-
TBD-
Bidvest Wits-
TBD-
TBD-
TS Galaxy1
Cape Umoya United0
1/16-finals
Zizwe United0
Happy Wanderers1
Cape Town Spurs2
TS Sporting3
Royal AM4
AmaZulu1
Stellenbosch FC2
Durban City3
Polokwane City0
Baroka1
Jomo Cosmos0
Hungry Lions1
Black Leopards4
North West University Mafikeng0
Amavarara2
Super Eagles1
Highlands2
Uthongathi0
Kaizer Chiefs1
Royal Eagles FC0
Mamelodi Sundowns1
Supersport Utd0
Vaal University of Technology3
Golden Arrows2
Mbombela1
Cape Town City0
Passion2
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila3
Orlando Pirates3
Bidvest Wits4
Chippa Utd.3
TS Galaxy0
1/8-finals
Happy Wanderers3
TS Sporting4
Royal AM3
Durban City2
Baroka3
Hungry Lions2
Black Leopards2
Amavarara0
Highlands2
Kaizer Chiefs1
Mamelodi Sundowns2
Vaal University of Technology0
Mbombela1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila2
Bidvest Wits2
Chippa Utd.0
Quarter-finals
TS Sporting1
Royal AM2
Baroka1
Black Leopards0
Highlands0
Mamelodi Sundowns1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila0
Bidvest Wits4
Semi-finals
Royal AM3
Baroka0
Mamelodi Sundowns3
Bidvest Wits2
Final
Royal AM0
Mamelodi Sundowns1