Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MC Alger vs Ain Beida

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2012/2013 Ali La Pointe Stadium, Douera
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MC Alger in this Algeria Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
MC Alger
20%
Draws
42%
Ain Beida
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ain Beida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MC Alger lately — more wins on the board than Ain Beida.
  • MC Alger are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • MC Alger have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor MC Alger, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 20%
Ain Beida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MC Alger Ain Beida
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 17 5
Draws 4 0
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.59 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2013 Algeria Cup
MC Alger vs Ain Beida
3:0
Feb 24, 2012 Algeria Cup
MC Alger vs Ain Beida
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MC Alger 49 / 100
Ain Beida 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MC Alger Ain Beida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MC Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MC Alger scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Ain Beida conceded in 63% of 8 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: MC Alger remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MC Alger VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MC Alger

(Home)
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0
Nigelec
06 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
MC Alger
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1
MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2
MC Alger
27 Jul
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 : 1
MC Alger
Page 1 of 6

Ain Beida

(Away)
01 Mar
MC Alger
3 : 0
Ain Beida
28 Dec
Ain Beida
5 : 1
Mouzaia
14 Dec
Ain Beida
1 : 0
Achir
24 Feb
MC Alger
2 : 1
Ain Beida
31 Dec
RC Oued Rhiou
0 : 1
Ain Beida
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
MC Alger 2
US Chaouia 1
Reghaia 1
Kabylie 3
Mouzaia 2
Bouakeul 0
Achir 0
Ain Beida 1
USM Blida 2
Medea 1
Msila 1
Bordj Bou Arreridj 2
Bel Abbes 4
Doucen 1
Annaba 0
Constantine 3
CR Belouizdad 5
MC Debdaba 0
ASM Oran 1
Bejaia 2
OM Arzew 3
CR Zoubiria 0
RC Oued Rhiou 0
Ain Fakroun 1
Cheraga 1
Hamma Loulou 0
Mazouna 0
Hamra Annaba 1
Touggourt 1
Ain Turck 0
Paradou 2
ES Setif 3
Oran 4
Skikda 1
JSM Tiaret 1
Hadjar 3
Rouisset 5
Guir Abadla 0
Bouira 0
ASO Chlef 6
Mlila 2
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Mostaganem 0
Khroub 1
Azzaba 5
Tadamoun Souf 1
MSP Batna 0
Tlemcen 1
Hussein Dey 5
El Kerma 0
Lakhdaria 1
Merouana 2
CA Batna 2
Tebessa 0
Dar El Beida 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 1
Bougtob 0
GC Mascara 0
Eulma 2
Sig 2
Robah 1
Saoura 0
USM Alger 1
1/16-finals
MC Alger 1
Kabylie 0
Mouzaia 1
Ain Beida 5
USM Blida 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj 0
Bel Abbes 1
Constantine 5
CR Belouizdad 1
Bejaia 0
OM Arzew 0
Ain Fakroun 3
Cheraga 1
Hamra Annaba 0
Touggourt 1
ES Setif 2
Oran 4
Hadjar 0
Rouisset 2
ASO Chlef 3
Mlila 1
Khroub 0
Azzaba 1
Tlemcen 2
Hussein Dey 1
Merouana 0
CA Batna 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 4
Eulma 2
Sig 0
USM Alger 5
1/8-finals
MC Alger 3
Ain Beida 0
USM Blida 1
Constantine 3
CR Belouizdad 1
Ain Fakroun 0
Cheraga 0
ES Setif 3
Oran 2
ASO Chlef 0
Mlila 1
Tlemcen 2
Hussein Dey 2
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 0
USM Alger 1
Quarter-finals
MC Alger 3
Constantine 0
CR Belouizdad 1
ES Setif 2
Oran 3
Tlemcen 1
Hussein Dey 1
USM Alger 2
Semi-finals
MC Alger 3
ES Setif 2
Oran 0
USM Alger 1
Final
MC Alger 0
USM Alger 1