Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MC Alger vs Beni Douala

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2016/2017 Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Bougueche H.
22' Event
Bougueche H.
31' Event
Zerdab Z.

AI Match Summary

MC Alger in this Algeria Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 7-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
MC Alger
15%
Draws
32%
Beni Douala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MC Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MC Alger lately — more wins on the board than Beni Douala.
  • MC Alger are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • MC Alger have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor MC Alger, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 68%
Beni Douala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MC Alger Beni Douala
Matches Played 31 10
Wins 18 5
Draws 5 0
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.68 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2016 Algeria Cup
MC Alger vs Beni Douala
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MC Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Bougueche H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zerdab Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Beni Douala Compare

Top Goalscorer Zerghoun M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MC Alger 95 / 100
Beni Douala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MC Alger Beni Douala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MC Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: MC Alger scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Beni Douala let in goals in 70% of their last 10 matches.

Recent resilience: MC Alger stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MC Alger VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MC Alger

(Home)
18 Sept
MC Alger
2 : 0
Rouisset
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0
Nigelec
06 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
MC Alger
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1
MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2
MC Alger
Page 1 of 7

Beni Douala

(Away)
26 Dec
ASO Chlef
6 : 1
Beni Douala
30 Dec
Beni Douala
0 : 2
Paradou
18 Dec
Beni Douala
2 : 1
ISC Tlemcen
27 Dec
MC Alger
7 : 1
Beni Douala
17 Dec
Skikda
0 : 4
Beni Douala
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
MC Alger 3
OM Arzew 2
Chelghoum 0
Frenda 1
Skikda 2
Guelma 1
Bouchegouf 0
Beni Douala 2
Nasr El Fedjoudj 1
Hadjar 0
Biskra 1
Annaba 2
Rouisset 2
El Milia 1
WAB Tissemsilt 0
Kabylie 5
Tebessa 2
Berrouaghia 1
Bouakeul 0
RC Oued Rhiou 1
Oran 2
Eulma 0
Bouaziz 0
ASO Chlef 6
Saoura 1
Magra 0
ASM Oran 1
Constantine 2
Staoueli 2
El Kerma 1
SCM Oran 0
ES Setif 2
CR Belouizdad 1
Bordj Ghedir 0
Ain Lhadjar 1
US Chaouia 2
USM Blida 2
Bejaia 1
Mahdi 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
Oued Sly 1
Ain Fakroun 0
Medea 2
CRB Henaya 2
Bechar Djedid 0
Tadjenant 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Hussein Dey 1
MO Bejaia 0
Ghozlane 0
Tighenif 1
Khenchela 1
Oued Smar 0
Oued Fodda 1
Paradou 3
USM Alger 2
Tadamoun Souf 0
Azazga 1
CA Batna 2
RC Relizane 2
Mostaganem 1
RC Kouba 1
Bel Abbes 2
1/16-finals
MC Alger 1
Frenda 0
Skikda 0
Beni Douala 4
Nasr El Fedjoudj 1
Annaba 0
Rouisset 1
Kabylie 2
Tebessa 2
RC Oued Rhiou 1
Oran 1
ASO Chlef 2
Saoura 1
Constantine 0
Staoueli 0
ES Setif 5
CR Belouizdad 2
US Chaouia 1
USM Blida 0
Saida 2
Harrach 2
Medea 1
CRB Henaya 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj 3
Hussein Dey 2
Tighenif 0
Khenchela 2
Paradou 3
USM Alger 1
CA Batna 0
RC Relizane 0
Bel Abbes 2
1/8-finals
MC Alger 7
Beni Douala 1
Nasr El Fedjoudj 0
Kabylie 1
Tebessa 4
ASO Chlef 2
Saoura 2
ES Setif 3
CR Belouizdad 2
Saida 1
Harrach 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Hussein Dey 1
Paradou 0
USM Alger 0
Bel Abbes 1
Quarter-finals
MC Alger 1
Kabylie 0
Tebessa 0
ES Setif 4
CR Belouizdad 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Hussein Dey 0
Bel Abbes 4
Semi-finals
MC Alger 2
ES Setif 3
CR Belouizdad 1
Bel Abbes 0
Final
ES Setif 0
CR Belouizdad 1