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MCF vs Equity Bank

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between MCF and Equity Bank finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Equity Bank.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
MCF
20%
Draws
47%
Equity Bank
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Equity Bank

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Equity Bank come out ahead of MCF on wins alone.
  • Equity Bank are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
MCF Clean Sheet 20%
Equity Bank Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MCF Equity Bank
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.63 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Super League
MCF vs Equity Bank
0:3
Nov 29, 2025 Super League
Equity Bank vs MCF
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MCF 24 / 100
Equity Bank 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MCF Equity Bank

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Equity Bank Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: MCF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

MCF found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Equity Bank's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

MCF VS Equity Bank
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MCF

(Home)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
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Equity Bank

(Away)
13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0
Mwatate United
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
27 May
Fortune Sacco
0 : 4
Equity Bank
23 May
3K FC
0 : 0
Equity Bank
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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