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MCF vs Equity Bank

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between MCF and Equity Bank finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Equity Bank.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
MCF
28%
Draws
50%
Equity Bank
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Equity Bank

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Equity Bank come out ahead of MCF on wins alone.
  • Equity Bank are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
MCF Clean Sheet 20%
Equity Bank Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MCF Equity Bank
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Super League
MCF vs Equity Bank
0:3
Nov 29, 2025 Super League
Equity Bank vs MCF
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MCF 24 / 100
Equity Bank 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MCF Equity Bank

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EQU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: MCF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

MCF found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Equity Bank's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

MCF VS Equity Bank
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MCF

(Home)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
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Equity Bank

(Away)
13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0
Mwatate United
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
27 May
Fortune Sacco
0 : 4
Equity Bank
23 May
3K FC
0 : 0
Equity Bank
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
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