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MCF vs Gucha Stars

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
MCF
20%
Draws
38%
Gucha Stars
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MCF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • MCF haven't matched Gucha Stars's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans MCF's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
MCF Clean Sheet 20%
Gucha Stars Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MCF Gucha Stars
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Super League
MCF vs Gucha Stars
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Gucha Stars vs MCF
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MCF 42 / 100
Gucha Stars 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MCF Gucha Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gucha Stars conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

MCF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

MCF's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

MCF VS Gucha Stars
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MCF

(Home)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
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Gucha Stars

(Away)
13 Jun
Gucha Stars
3 : 2
Talanta FC
07 Jun
Fortune Sacco
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
01 Jun
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Darajani Gogo
27 May
Vihiga United
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
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