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MCF vs Gucha Stars

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
MCF
15%
Draws
48%
Gucha Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gucha Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • MCF haven't matched Gucha Stars's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans MCF's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
MCF Clean Sheet 20%
Gucha Stars Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MCF Gucha Stars
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Super League
MCF vs Gucha Stars
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Gucha Stars vs MCF
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MCF 42 / 100
Gucha Stars 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MCF Gucha Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gucha Stars conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

MCF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

MCF's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

MCF VS Gucha Stars
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MCF

(Home)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
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Gucha Stars

(Away)
13 Jun
Gucha Stars
3 : 2
Talanta FC
07 Jun
Fortune Sacco
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
01 Jun
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Darajani Gogo
27 May
Vihiga United
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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