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MCF vs Soy United

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
MCF
30%
Draws
37%
Soy United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Soy United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Soy United have won more games recently than MCF.
  • MCF are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
MCF Clean Sheet 20%
Soy United Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MCF Soy United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.63 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
MCF vs Soy United
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Super League
Soy United vs MCF
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MCF 42 / 100
Soy United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MCF Soy United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

MCF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

MCF scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Soy United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

MCF VS Soy United
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MCF

(Home)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
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Soy United

(Away)
13 Jun
Luanda Villa
0 : 1
Soy United
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
28 May
Soy United
0 : 0
Kisumu All-Stars
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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