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MDE W vs Estadual W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Capixaba Women
MDE W Logo

MDE W

1 - 3
FT
Estadual W Logo

Estadual W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba Women game between MDE W and Estadual W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estadual W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
MDE W
15%
Draws
48%
Estadual W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estadual W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estadual W come out ahead of MDE W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Capixaba Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
MDE W Clean Sheet 10%
Estadual W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MDE W Estadual W
Matches Played 15 26
Wins 7 18
Draws 2 1
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.47 3.08
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Capixaba Women
MDE W vs Estadual W
1:3
Jul 20, 2025 Capixaba Women
MDE W vs Estadual W
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MDE W 34 / 100
Estadual W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MDE W Estadual W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estadual W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MDE W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (15 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: MDE W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Estadual W has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

MDE W VS Estadual W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
3.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MDE W

(Home)
27 Sept
MDE W
1 : 3
Estadual W
20 Sept
Vilavelhense W
1 : 4
MDE W
06 Sept
MDE W
3 : 3
America ES W
29 Aug
Prosperidade W
10 : 0
MDE W
23 Aug
MDE W
3 : 0
Harpia W
Page 1 of 3

Estadual W

(Away)
03 Oct
Estadual W
3 : 0
Harpia W
27 Sept
MDE W
1 : 3
Estadual W
20 Sept
Estadual W
4 : 1
America ES W
12 Sept
Prosperidade W
6 : 0
Estadual W
06 Sept
Estadual W
0 : 2
Harpia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prosperidade W 6 6 0 0 40:1 18
2 Harpia W 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Estadual W 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
4 Atletico Capixaba W 6 2 3 1 10:11 9
5 MDE W 6 2 2 2 12:18 8
6 America ES W 6 0 2 4 6:29 2
7 Vilavelhense W 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - Capixaba Women (Play Offs)