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MDE W vs Harpia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Women
MDE W Logo

MDE W

3 - 0
FT
Harpia W Logo

Harpia W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

MDE W in this Capixaba Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored MDE W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MDE W
20%
Draws
40%
Harpia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Harpia W have won more games recently than MDE W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Capixaba Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
MDE W Clean Sheet 10%
Harpia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MDE W Harpia W
Matches Played 15 20
Wins 7 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.47 1.75
Goals Conceded 3.2 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Capixaba Women
MDE W vs Harpia W
3:0
Aug 10, 2025 Capixaba Women
MDE W vs Harpia W
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MDE W 30 / 100
Harpia W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MDE W Harpia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harpia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MDE W scored in 80% of their last 15 games.

Harpia W let in goals in 95% of their last 20 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: MDE W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MDE W VS Harpia W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MDE W

(Home)
27 Sept
MDE W
1 : 3
Estadual W
20 Sept
Vilavelhense W
1 : 4
MDE W
06 Sept
MDE W
3 : 3
America ES W
29 Aug
Prosperidade W
10 : 0
MDE W
23 Aug
MDE W
3 : 0
Harpia W
Page 1 of 3

Harpia W

(Away)
03 Oct
Estadual W
3 : 0
Harpia W
27 Sept
Prosperidade W
3 : 1
Harpia W
13 Sept
Harpia W
1 : 1
Atletico Capixaba W
06 Sept
Estadual W
0 : 2
Harpia W
30 Aug
Harpia W
3 : 2
Vilavelhense W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prosperidade W 6 6 0 0 40:1 18
2 Harpia W 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Estadual W 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
4 Atletico Capixaba W 6 2 3 1 10:11 9
5 MDE W 6 2 2 2 12:18 8
6 America ES W 6 0 2 4 6:29 2
7 Vilavelhense W 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - Capixaba Women (Play Offs)