Sport Picks
Mdina vs Kercem Ajax - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Malta
FA Trophy 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
Kercem Ajax in this FA Trophy 2013/2014 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mdina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Kercem Ajax have won more games recently than Mdina.
- 28% — that's where the model lands on Kercem Ajax taking it.
- Kercem Ajax arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Kercem Ajax, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Mdina Clean Sheet 10%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mdina | Kercem Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 26, 2013 FA Trophy
Mdina vs Kercem Ajax
1:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mdina 22 / 100
Kercem Ajax 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mdina Kercem Ajax
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kercem Ajax Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kercem Ajax has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.
Mdina scored in 75% of their last 12 games.
Kercem Ajax's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Mdina VS Kercem Ajax
1 Goals Scored 2.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Mdina
(Home) 06 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
7 : 0 Mdina
30 Nov
Mdina
1 : 4 Pieta
28 Oct
Mdina
2 : 1 Gharb
09 Sept
Zebbug Rovers
0 : 1 Mdina
10 Sept
Mdina
2 : 3 Mellieha
Page 1 of 3
30 Nov
Mdina
1 : 4 Pieta
28 Oct
Mdina
2 : 1 Gharb
10 Sept
Mdina
2 : 3 Mellieha
10 Sept
Mdina
1 : 5 Victoria Hotspurs
07 Sept
Mdina
0 : 2 St. Lawrence
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Kercem Ajax
(Away) 18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0 Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2 Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0 Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2 Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0 Kercem Ajax
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18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0 Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2 Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0 Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2 Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0 Kercem Ajax
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
Xbiex 4
Ghajnsielem 1
TBD -
Pembroke -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
Qrendi 2
Swieqi 3
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Kercem Ajax 6
St. Lawrence 2
Santa Lucia 1
Luqa 2
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
Sirens 10
Sannat Lions 1
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Munxar 1
Mtarfa 0
Oratory 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija 4
Kalkara 0
TBD -
Lija -
Melita -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 2
Nadur 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 1
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Mgarr 2
Attard 0
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
Victoria Wanderers 2
Xghajra 0
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qormi -
1/32-finals
Gzira 5
Zurrieq 1
Xbiex 0
Pembroke 6
Siggiewi 5
Swieqi 2
Zabbar 3
St. George's FC 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Luqa 2
Fgura 1
Mdina 2
Sirens 1
Marsa 0
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
Zejtun 0
Gudja 1
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Oratory 0
TBD -
Floriana -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Xewkija 0
Lija 4
Melita 3
Nadur 0
TBD -
Valletta -
Pieta 1
Hamrun 0
Xaghra 0
Mqabba FC 1
Senglea 4
Kirkop 2
TBD -
Hibernians -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Msida 0
Birzebbuga 1
Zebbug 3
Dingli Swallows 0
TBD -
Sliema -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
San Gwann 4
Marsaxlokk 0
Mgarr 0
St. Andrews 3
Tarxien -
TBD -
Gharghur 1
Mellieha 4
Victoria Wanderers 1
Marsaskala FC 0
TBD -
Qormi -
1/16-finals
Gzira 1
Pembroke 0
Siggiewi 0
St. George's FC 6
Kercem Ajax 5
Mdina 1
Sirens 1
Rabat Ajax 3
Naxxar Lions 3
Gudja 0
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Floriana 4
Mosta FC 2
Lija 1
Melita 1
Valletta 3
Pieta 1
Mqabba FC 0
Senglea 1
Hibernians 6
Balzan FC 5
Birzebbuga 2
Zebbug 1
Sliema 3
Birkirkara 4
Vittoriosa 1
San Gwann 1
St. Andrews 2
Tarxien 1
Mellieha 0
Victoria Wanderers 0
Qormi 1
1/8-finals
Gzira 2
St. George's FC 1
Kercem Ajax 1
Rabat Ajax 5
Naxxar Lions 1
Floriana 0
Mosta FC 0
Valletta 3
Pieta 1
Hibernians 0
Balzan FC 1
Sliema 2
Birkirkara 4
St. Andrews 0
Tarxien 0
Qormi 1
Quarter-finals
Gzira 2
Rabat Ajax 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Valletta 1
Pieta 0
Sliema 2
Birkirkara 1
Qormi 3
Semi-finals
Gzira 0
Valletta 2
Sliema 1
Qormi 0
Final
Valletta 1
Sliema 0
